Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.001488 0.001646 0.001804 0.001974 0.002152 0.002332 0.002528
2025-01-05 0.001230 0.001466 0.001712 0.001985 0.002278 0.002582 0.002919
2025-01-12 0.001021 0.001311 0.001623 0.001979 0.002371 0.002785 0.003253
2025-01-19 0.000841 0.001166 0.001528 0.001952 0.002428 0.002940 0.003526
2025-01-26 0.000717 0.001071 0.001476 0.001962 0.002517 0.003122 0.003823
2025-02-02 0.000615 0.000990 0.001432 0.001973 0.002601 0.003293 0.004103
2025-02-09 0.000556 0.000954 0.001436 0.002035 0.002738 0.003520 0.004442
2025-02-16 0.000526 0.000951 0.001476 0.002137 0.002919 0.003796 0.004833
2025-02-23 0.000411 0.000825 0.001357 0.002042 0.002867 0.003801 0.004917
2025-03-02 0.000330 0.000738 0.001279 0.001992 0.002862 0.003858 0.005055
2025-03-09 0.000278 0.000683 0.001241 0.001987 0.002909 0.003971 0.005256
2025-03-16 0.000244 0.000653 0.001231 0.002016 0.002994 0.004128 0.005506
2025-03-23 0.000213 0.000627 0.001228 0.002056 0.003097 0.004310 0.005791
2025-03-30 0.000182 0.000596 0.001216 0.002084 0.003185 0.004476 0.006057
2025-04-06 0.000148 0.000554 0.001186 0.002087 0.003240 0.004602 0.006278
2025-04-13 0.000111 0.000501 0.001138 0.002063 0.003261 0.004686 0.006448
2025-04-20 0.000089 0.000470 0.001118 0.002075 0.003326 0.004821 0.006677
2025-04-27 0.000069 0.000441 0.001099 0.002087 0.003389 0.004954 0.006903
2025-05-04 0.000061 0.000437 0.001119 0.002151 0.003518 0.005165 0.007221
2025-05-11 0.000060 0.000451 0.001168 0.002256 0.003699 0.005440 0.007614
2025-05-18 0.000031 0.000379 0.001073 0.002159 0.003619 0.005397 0.007630
2025-05-25 0.000016 0.000331 0.001014 0.002107 0.003597 0.005422 0.007725
2025-06-01 0.000008 0.000303 0.000987 0.002102 0.003633 0.005518 0.007905